A Quick Introduction

Polymarket is a prediction platform that allows its users to bet on various future events, such as political elections, the weather, financial markets and so on. I’m confident that I cannot compete with experts when it comes to forex, commodities or securities, but I might be able to edge out advantages in more exotic markets – which is what I plan to try to do over the coming months and years.

This blog serves as a way for me to document my thought processes and to organize research so I don’t jump into a prediction too early: I’m also hoping in 2030, I’ll be able to look back and say “wow, I’m sure glad I documented my epic run!”.

Will I be successful? Will I lose all of my capital? There’s only one way to find out.

2026 has just started, and I’m excited to see where things go from here.

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