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I’ve tinkered with Claude Code over the last few weeks and I figured I’d throw the recent How many 6.5 or above earthquakes by January 25? market at it. I’m not skilled enough statistically to work out what the implied odds are based on recent data, and the opportunity cost of learning all that is quite high (I could be …

Polymarket is a prediction platform that allows its users to bet on various future events, such as political elections, the weather, financial markets and so on. I’m confident that I cannot compete with experts when it comes to forex, commodities or securities, but I might be able to edge out advantages in more exotic markets – which is what I …